7.4. Estimation of stable age distribution

Equation [5] can be re-written as:

Substituting this equation into [3] we get the relationship between the number of organisms in age x and in age 0 in a stable age distribution:

Now we can estimate the proportion of organisms, c , in age x:

[7]

Age,
x
lx exp(-rx) lxexp(-rx)cxSimulated cx
01.0001.00001.00000.24130.2413
10.8450.85070.71880.17340.1734
20.8240.72370.59630.14390.1439
30.7950.61560.48940.11810.1181
40.7550.52370.39540.09540.0954
50.6990.44550.31140.07510.0751
60.6260.37900.23730.05720.0572
70.5320.32240.17150.04140.0414
80.4180.27430.11470.02770.0277
90.2890.23330.06740.01630.0163
100.1620.19850.03220.00780.0078
110.0600.16890.01010.00240.0024
Total4.14451.00001.0000

Age distribution estimated using equation [7] (column 5) coincided with simulated age distribution after 50 iterations of the model.


Alexei Sharov 12/4/98